HEDGED.BIZ

A look at economics, markets, finance and the irrational human being

2018 Investment Outlook. Inflation and Rates Pivotal.

8 years of recovery We have now had 8 years of economic growth since the financial crisis, with a little turbulence along the way, the European banking crisis 2011/2012, Taper Tantrum 2013, the China stock bubble in 2015. China has clearly matured and growth rates decelerated as one would expect from an economy of its
Read more
No Comments

8 years of caution and trepidation and we got a raging bull market. What will optimism bring? 2018

We have Italian elections in early March. The Germans still haven’t formed a government, and the AfD have 13% (the fictional TV series Berlin Station predicted a 13% vote for the fictional analogue PfD). All the data is good and synchronized. It really can’t get any better than this. Investors are more bullish than at
Read more
No Comments

2018. Lower Returns. Target Returns Or Target Risk?

Financial markets began 2018 with a surge. Equity markets closed on or exceeded historical highs, credit spreads tightened and sovereign bonds sold off. Commodities rallied with emerging market currencies as the USD sank. The first week of 2018 appeared to indicate continued risk appetite and exuberant sentiment, with some good reasons and some cautions. We
Read more
No Comments

How To Invest. Investing For Idiots. And Smart People.

For most people, a simple investment strategy is best. Complex investment strategies with ambitious objectives, whether they are loss reduction, returns enhancement, volatility targeting, alpha generation, et al, are luxuries with associated cost. Here are some simple rules that investors of all levels of sophistication should follow.  Invest early and keep it simple. Take more
Read more
No Comments

China Should Join the TPP

The TPP was President Obama’s trade pact designed to be a counterbalance to the surging influence of China. It was designed to exclude China. When President Trump decided to turn away from TPP he provided China with a strategic opening. China has been building bridges as the US was busy building walls, or trying to
Read more
No Comments
TOP

DISCLAIMER / DISCLOSURE

The information, articles and content on www.hedged.biz are written by an industry professional who is currently in the investment industry working for a professional institution. By viewing or participating in discussion on this site, you understand that the opinions expressed here do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of such professional institution but is the author’s personal opinion.

 

The information in this site is believed to be reliable, however, no representation is made that it is complete or reliable. No reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained in this site and no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained here.

 

Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, fees and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results

Send this to friend