ECB in a pickle. How about a Eurosystem CDO? Or restart unconditional LTROs
Friday, 17 June 2022 | 10:57 am
June 15, 2022. The ECB called a special meeting to discuss surging bond yields of peripheral member states. With the inflation problem in Europe, you would have thought the ECB would have welcomed higher rates. Not so. The ECB has a very difficult task. It needs to maintain financial and economic stability, keeping a lid
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ESG? Just Make Things Better
Tuesday, 05 April 2022 | 6:38 am
I’ve been attending ESG conferences these last couple of months, speaking, a bit tentatively, at some of them. I’ve been thinking a lot about ESG and don’t really know what to make of it. It seems to try to capture many things in many ways and in doing so makes things complicated and hard to
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Inflation and Growth 2022 and beyond.
Sunday, 03 April 2022 | 7:52 am
In the immediate months following the COVID shock in 2Q 2020, Fed and market had expected inflation to be transitory, basically rising from 2% to 4% and fading back to 2%. This proved to be wrong. I had expected a peak of 6-8% fading to 3-4%. From June 2020, we shorted treasuries to hedge all
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Useful Data
Friday, 01 April 2022 | 1:46 pm
Data is pretty topical these days. Everybody, including I’m sure, some automata, are talking about big data and AI. I wanted to make a couple of very general observations. If you have a lot of data but they all look the same, or are pretty close to each other, then the information the data contain
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Ukraine. Poison Pill Defense
Sunday, 20 February 2022 | 6:21 am
Ukraine needs to invade Poland at once. And subsequently surrender. This will make Ukraine a part of Poland and thus NATO.
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