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June 18, 2025

Author: Burnham Banks

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FX Rate Fixing. Banks Fined. A Clarification.

Friday, 22 May 2015 | 1:11 am by Burnham Banks
The rights and obligations of principal and agent need to be properly defined, particularly in complex business like banking and finance. Five banks have recently been fined $5.5 billion over a rate manipulation scheme that has seen them not act in their clients’ best interest. A bank should be clear about whether it trades as
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China's QE Lite II. Jiangsu Successfully Issues 52 billion RMB of Muni Bonds

Thursday, 21 May 2015 | 12:37 am by Burnham Banks
On Monday, 18 May, Jiangsu province successfully sold 52 billion RMB of municipal bonds.   Recently, the Chinese government has accelerated a municipal bond program that effectively is a debt swap for some 1.7 trillion RMB of existing local government debt. Cost of debt for the local governments is expected to fall by some 250-300
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China's QE Lite. PSL, MLF, SLF a.k.a LTRO, MRO

Friday, 15 May 2015 | 12:33 am by Burnham Banks
China is initiating QE lite mimicking the ECB’s LTRO programs. The objectives are clearly to lower borrowing costs for local governments, and to establish a liquid municipal bond market as part of a reorganization of the funding mechanism for local governments which until now had used opaque, off balance sheet, so-called Local Government Funding Vehicles
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Why Did German Bunds Selloff and What Opportunities Are There in European Sovereign Bonds

Thursday, 14 May 2015 | 7:09 am by Burnham Banks
Why did German bunds selloff so violently? When the ECB announced QE, traders attempted to front run the program. The program would buy bonds according to the capital subscription of the national central banks to the ECB. On that count, bunds would see an 18% allocation of the budget, France 14%, Italy 12% and Spain
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A Simple China Growth Model. Implications For Hard or Soft Landing

Tuesday, 12 May 2015 | 6:15 am by Burnham Banks
The Chinese economy generated about 10.4 trillion USD of nominal output in 2014, representing incremental nominal output of 680 billion USD, equivalent to 7.0% growth. If the Chinese economy continues to generate this same incremental nominal output of 679 billion USD this year and next, 2015 growth will be 6.54% and 2016 growth will be
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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