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May 18, 2025

Author: Burnham Banks

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Credit Market Turbulence. How To Think About Credit Investing August 2014

Wednesday, 06 August 2014 | 6:38 am by Burnham Banks
After a year of abnormally low volatility, high yield markets are correcting across the globe. Since 2008 the high yield market has experienced 3 bouts of turbulence The European sovereign crisis in 2011. The “Taper Tantrum” of 2013. The last few weeks. Why have high yield credit markets exhibited this volatility recently?
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Credit Spreads in Pictures. Aug 2014

Tuesday, 05 August 2014 | 11:34 pm by Burnham Banks
  Without considering fundamentals, lets look at some pictures…   The global economy is in relatively rude health. The US continues to grow and employment is becoming broader based. The UK is one of the faster growing economies in the developed world. China is recovering nicely as the PBOC eases. The ECB is underwritten the
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Ten Seconds Into The Future. July 2014

Tuesday, 15 July 2014 | 11:19 pm by Burnham Banks
Equity, bond, FX, swaption and commodity volatility have one thing in common. They have contracted steadily from 2008/9 levels to 2006 levels, almost in lockstep. To some, this is a sign of complacency, to others, calm.
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Peak Corporate Profitability. Labor's Share of Profits. Intellectual Property.

Tuesday, 24 June 2014 | 12:07 am by Burnham Banks
It is difficult for an individual to hold, accumulate or acquire intellectual property directly. Storage capacity is one issue. At best an individual can hold or acquire the last mile of the intellectual property chain. The most practical way for an individual to own intellectual property is through ownership of a company or business. (Higher
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THoughts about Asset and Goods Price Inflation. Explaining Stock and Bond Market Performance under QE.

Wednesday, 18 June 2014 | 11:46 pm by Burnham Banks
There is more to MV=PQ than meets the eye. Central banks can expand M but this does not mean they can expand MV. V can always fall to compensate for the increase in M, as has happened for most of the period 2008 – 2014. The maintenance or expansion of V is dependent on a
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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