Investment Strategy 2013 Recap and 2014 Outlook
Friday, 13 December 2013 | 7:55 am
Time stamping…
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US monetary and fiscal policy 2014 – 2017
Monday, 18 November 2013 | 6:23 am
US monetary and fiscal policy 2014 – 2017. I believe it is inevitable that QE tapering will happen. This is driven by the need to control the growth, and one day shrink, the Fed’s balance sheet which is currently at 4 trillion USD and growing. The dangers of maintaining a balance sheet of this
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Equity and High Yield Risk and QE. Why is QE Not Working for the Real Economy But Inflating Assets?
Monday, 11 November 2013 | 12:19 am
Why is QE ineffective in reviving current demand and employment even as it drives up equity and high yield bond markets? The massively expansionary monetary policies have yielded surprisingly low inflation while inflating asset prices across the globe. Bond yields have compressed and equity markets have surged in the past 5 years. Why is monetary
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China In Transition. Outlook for the Chinese Economy.
Saturday, 09 November 2013 | 1:42 am
Despite strong economic growth, Chinese equities have been derating over the past few years. There are technical reasons for the underperformance, mostly due to regulation and the nature of the investor base, which are mostly domestic retail investors. Still, this does not explain the cheap valuations in offshore listings of Chinese companies. The current structure
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Ten Seconds Into The Future… A Quick Take on Market and Economic Outlook
Friday, 08 November 2013 | 7:25 am
The world is witnessing renewed economic strength. Generally, fundamentals are strong(er), especially in the developed markets. Policy, however, remains nervous and uncertain and drives financial market volatility. Equities in the performing markets seem fully priced. Credit continues to perform in the face of potentially higher interest rates. What can we make of all this? Let’s
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