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May 17, 2025

Author: Burnham Banks

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China Signals Flexibility in the CNY exchange rate

Monday, 21 June 2010 | 4:57 pm by Burnham Banks
On Saturday, 19 June, China signalled the end of its currency peg which fixed the CNY at 6.83 to the USD and said it would gradually make the its currency more flexible. The CNY appreciated to 6.80 on Monday. A stronger CNY it was hoped would: Address the trade imbalances between the US and China.
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Hedged.biz Downgrades Credit Ratings Agencies

Tuesday, 15 June 2010 | 1:33 pm by Burnham Banks
Hedged.biz has downgraded Fitch, Moody’s and Standard and Poors from AAA directly to junk. For downgrading (upgrading)  issuers only after price discovery has occurred and being reactive rather than proactive. For downgrading (upgrading) issuers only after bad (good) stuff has happened and been priced in. Downgrading BP over a month after their rig in the
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The State of The Craft

Tuesday, 01 June 2010 | 12:04 pm by Burnham Banks
We are not rewarded to bolster the base of the pyramid but to reach for the stars. Too often intermediate levels are built upon a deck of cards. Where the potential to build highest lies, most effort is directed there, often in disregard of the frailty of the supporting levels below. The engineer knows that
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Country versus Sector Effects: A Trading Strategy

Tuesday, 01 June 2010 | 11:20 am by Burnham Banks
With the acceleration of globalization in the last 20 years up until 2008 sector risk has risen relative to country risk. The classic example is in Europe where a stock like RWE starts trading less like a German stock and more like a European utility stock. With the credit crisis of 2008 came a number
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European Equity Markets – Country Risk Back Again

Thursday, 27 May 2010 | 4:27 pm by Burnham Banks
Prior to the adoption of the EUR, European equity markets were segmented by country. Since the adoption of the EUR, however, European equity markets became segmented by sector, as the funding costs between countries converged. With the recent rise of country risk and the divergence of funding costs, Europe is trading by country segmentation again.
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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