Japan Exits Recession: But where to?
Thursday, 20 August 2009 | 2:43 am
Japan’s quarter on quarter GDP growth recorded a 0.90% increase versus consensus estimates of 1.0% and a prior quarter’s alarming 3.8% decline. There are several ways to read this.
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Is The Equity Bear Market Rally Really Over?
Wednesday, 19 August 2009 | 3:51 pm
Equity Market Review Once again equity markets are looking vulnerable. The high octane markets in Asia such as Shanghai, HK and Bombay have certainly corrected sharply, and this amid quite benign news. How do we make sense of these markets? The retail investor and, quite embarrassingly, the professional investor panicked in the second half of
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Japan Exits Recession: But where to?
Tuesday, 18 August 2009 | 1:03 pm
Japan’s quarter on quarter GDP growth recorded a 0.90% increase versus consensus estimates of 1.0% and a prior quarter’s alarming 3.8% decline. There are several ways to read this. One is that growth was positive on a quarterly basis and we should all be thankful for it, let’s all go and buy equities. The other
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Stock Market Dispersions: European Example
Monday, 17 August 2009 | 12:47 pm
Here is an analysis of the dispersion of returns in the various sectors of the European equity markets as defined by the Stoxx sub sector indices. Dispersion here has been defined as the standard deviation of returns across the constituent stocks in a Stoxx sector index. I looked at 2 year daily data as well
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Economic Recovery, of Sorts
Monday, 03 August 2009 | 5:41 am
See my earlier article A Return to Boom and Bust, where I argue that product and asset markets will be driven by liquidity and leverage and monetary policy in the short to medium term due to the extraordinary circumstances we find ourselves in in the aftermath of the bursting of the great credit bubble. Monetary policy
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