US Labour Market. The long and short view. What the weak May Non Farm Payroll numbers mean.
Monday, 06 June 2016 | 10:35 pm
Below are a series of pictures depicting the US labor market. We highlight a number of points. 1. The weak payroll numbers in May are significant in that they were well below even the lower bound estimates, prior month numbers were revised down significantly, temporary non-farm payrolls were also below estimates, there were no special
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Singapore 2.0. Singapore Economy In A Rut. Policy Has Run Out Of Ideas.
Monday, 30 May 2016 | 1:39 am
The Singapore economy is in a bit of a rut. A space constrained, population constrained economy like Singapore needs to look to unconventional economic models for growth. It cannot target population growth, capital accumulation and technological innovation without bound. Population growth meets space constraints and population density issues sooner or later. By all accounts, it
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Quantitative Easing Explained. And Anti Social Economics.
Friday, 27 May 2016 | 12:40 am
Every so often the free market fails to sort itself out and the economy grows more slowly than it should, according to the economists, bankers and investors. Measures need to be taken to spur economic growth so that it can run at its potential again. Having lowered interest rates to zero or close to zero
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Negative Interest Rates. Not Much To Be Positive About.
Monday, 09 May 2016 | 2:37 am
Global economic growth has been slow and inflation has been stubbornly low despite efforts by central banks to raise them. The first round of unconventional policy involved central banks buying bonds and other assets and increasing their balance sheets. The strategy has only been moderately successful and is probably at the point of diminishing marginal
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Central Bank Liquidity: Waterboarding
Monday, 14 March 2016 | 11:38 pm
Negative interest rates. Hmmm. I’ve seen this kind of liquidity provision before… Now I remember!
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