The Chinese economy generated about 10.4 trillion USD of nominal output in 2014, representing incremental nominal output of 680 billion USD, equivalent to 7.0% growth. If the Chinese economy continues to generate this same incremental nominal output of 679 billion USD this year and next, 2015 growth will be 6.54% and 2016 growth will be

A business cannot borrow itself into solvency. On the other hand there will be a cost of debt beyond which no business model can survive. What Greece needs to do is examine its business model to get a handle on its revenues and expenses (including unfunded liabilities), examine its balance sheet (including state owned assets)

The Chinese economy is clearly slowing down and the PBOC is reacting by providing stimulus to maintain a sustainable rate of growth. It needs to do this in a balanced way without undoing some of the credit market reforms that have been enacted in the last year. On Sunday, the PBOC announced a 0.25% cut

A short EUR position has been a consensus trade for most of 2014. Recent EUR volatility and the contentious negotiations about Greece’s finances challenge the consensus. If Greece manages to stay in the Eurozone it will be by postponing its problems and continually deferring default and exit. The Euro would be weak under this scenario. Volatility

Why would German bund yields fall to zero? Why would they not? ECB QE is a rescue operation. In a rescue operation, you don’t buy the healthiest, you buy the weakest. Greece is not part of the rescue operation by the way, since it is probably to weak to save and on a battlefield you