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March 9, 2026

Category: Articles

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Equity and Bond Correlations. Inflation. Commodities. Implications.

Thursday, 07 May 2015 | 3:49 am by Burnham Banks
In 2014 we saw stronger equity markets and falling bond yields. In 2015 we see slowing equity markets, slower growth and rising bond yields. The 2014 correlation went against historical correlations but could be explained by equity valuations being supported by falling discount rates and thus rerating. Also, despite a stronger economy, bond yields fell
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USD. Strength or Weakness

Wednesday, 06 May 2015 | 3:29 am by Burnham Banks
Where will the USD go, up or down? We dealt with the possibility that the Fed would delay the rate hike and concluded that any resultant USD weakness would be temporary. As long as rate hikes were on the horizon, any USD weakness would be temporary. If a rate hike was ruled out indefinitely, then perhaps
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Japan. Abenomics and the BoJ Run Out Of Options.

Tuesday, 05 May 2015 | 8:36 am by Burnham Banks
Japan is a cautionary tale of what happens when an export dependent economy has an inadequate domestic demand base. The Bank of Japan appears to have run out of options. QQE on its own can exert pressure on interest rates and boost output but on the fiscal policy side, tax hikes have the ability to
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So You Want To Run An Asian Private Bank

Monday, 16 March 2015 | 6:08 pm by Burnham Banks
When the going gets tough the tough find another gig. Basel III and Dodd-Frank getting in the way of your investment banking business? Taxpayers tired of footing the bill for your proprietary trading desks’ follies? Pesky shareholders asking you what your next trick is going to be to get the share price rising again? Wealth
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Just One More Thing… Central Banks Are Cutting Rates Like There Is No Tomorrow

Thursday, 12 March 2015 | 1:47 am by Burnham Banks
This year we have apparently seen 23 central banks cutting rates; personally, I have lost count. The question is, why now? How dire are things? And what are these things that are apparently so dire. The US and the UK are the only two majors not cutting rates. Lets exclude the basket cases and currency
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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