HEDGED.BIZ

A look at economics, markets, finance and the irrational human being

Decoupling: The Myth and The Mystery

In emerging markets, something bad happens every 3 to 4 years, and something very bad happens every 7 to 8 years. Bad things tend to happen when periods of high growth store up imbalances which accumulate till breaking point or hide fundamental structural flaws. More often than not, they are borne from lack of diversification
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Some Macro Strategies June 2009

Part of the recovery and healing process of the world economy will involve an evolution of the trade positions of countries. As profligate nations save and emerging market consumers expand, Western trade deficits and emerging market trade surpluses are likely to contract towards balance. The transactional demand for currency will likely support the USD and
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Some Macro Strategies June 2009

Part of the recovery and healing process of the world economy will involve an evolution of the trade positions of countries. As profligate nations save and emerging market consumers expand, Western trade deficits and emerging market trade surpluses are likely to contract towards balance. The transactional demand for currency will likely support the USD and
Read more
No Comments

The End of This Equity Market Rally

I am not an equity market bear; if anything I am firmly of the view that the world economy is on the path of recovery and repair. Equity markets have, however, run well ahead of themselves and of fundamentals. Technically, equities are heavily overbought. Fundamentally, they are not cheap either. In an earlier article dated 15 June
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The End of This Equity Market Rally

I am not an equity market bear; if anything I am firmly of the view that the world economy is on the path of recovery and repair. Equity markets have, however, run well ahead of themselves and of fundamentals. Technically, equities are heavily overbought. Fundamentally, they are not cheap either. In an earlier article dated
Read more
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