Europe's Troubled Economy and the Euro. Why the Euro Doesn't Work and Where it will Break.
Sunday, 19 May 2013 | 11:24 pm
The credit infused growth of the last twenty years has allowed many an inefficiency to persist undetected or un-addressed. The EUR is one such inefficiency. Unless national factor prices are flexible or factor productivities converge between countries in the Eurozone, a single currency must impede market clearing leading to inefficient allocation of resources leading
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Gold. the Alternative to Hope
Sunday, 19 May 2013 | 11:22 pm
The trouble with gold is that it has long derived its value as an alternative to fiat currencies and paper assets whose values are derived from collective trust or faith and little else. Gold has very little use except as a supply constrained store of value. As trust and faith are restored in paper assets,
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Recap on 2Q investment outlook
Thursday, 16 May 2013 | 3:00 am
Not everyone has time to read the lengthy, boring letters that I write, so I thought I’d summarize and simplify.
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China Trade Data Anomaly Explained
Tuesday, 14 May 2013 | 11:39 pm
Official trade data for China showed exports growing YOY by 14.7%, ahead of forecasts of 9% and imports of 16.8%, ahead of forecasts of 13%. Closer inspection of the data reveals interesting themes. Notably, the bulk of the rise in exports was to Asia, as was the bulk of imports. Ex Asia, the numbers for
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Exiting QE. The Game of Chicken. Welcome to the Hotel California.
Monday, 13 May 2013 | 11:18 pm
The game of chicken is played when two cars are driven at each other at high speed. The one that flinches first, loses. The one that flinches last, wins. If neither flinch, they both lose.
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