Credit Spreads in Pictures. Aug 2014
Tuesday, 05 August 2014 | 11:34 pm
Without considering fundamentals, lets look at some pictures… The global economy is in relatively rude health. The US continues to grow and employment is becoming broader based. The UK is one of the faster growing economies in the developed world. China is recovering nicely as the PBOC eases. The ECB is underwritten the
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Ten Seconds Into The Future. July 2014
Tuesday, 15 July 2014 | 11:19 pm
Equity, bond, FX, swaption and commodity volatility have one thing in common. They have contracted steadily from 2008/9 levels to 2006 levels, almost in lockstep. To some, this is a sign of complacency, to others, calm.
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Peak Corporate Profitability. Labor's Share of Profits. Intellectual Property.
Tuesday, 24 June 2014 | 12:07 am
It is difficult for an individual to hold, accumulate or acquire intellectual property directly. Storage capacity is one issue. At best an individual can hold or acquire the last mile of the intellectual property chain. The most practical way for an individual to own intellectual property is through ownership of a company or business. (Higher
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THoughts about Asset and Goods Price Inflation. Explaining Stock and Bond Market Performance under QE.
Wednesday, 18 June 2014 | 11:46 pm
There is more to MV=PQ than meets the eye. Central banks can expand M but this does not mean they can expand MV. V can always fall to compensate for the increase in M, as has happened for most of the period 2008 – 2014. The maintenance or expansion of V is dependent on a
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Bank Regulation Investment Theme.
Monday, 12 May 2014 | 1:01 am
One of the most interesting and rewarding investment opportunities currently available trades on the reform of the banking sector. We live in a world where, unfortunately, pragmatism has for too long trumped ideology. This lack of a guiding philosophy had led banks to myopia and to overreach themselves resulting in over-levered balance sheets and inappropriate
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