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March 10, 2026

Author: Burnham Banks

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Divergence Between US Equities and US Treasuries

Tuesday, 18 March 2014 | 1:52 am by Burnham Banks
The divergence between the US treasury market and US equities can be accounted for. US treasury yields are held down because. Floating rate note issuance is expected to be circa 180 billion USD. This will substitute away some of the fixed coupon issuance. This means less supply of fixed coupons. Tax receipts are up which
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Singapore Economic Growth and Population.

Monday, 03 March 2014 | 12:25 am by Burnham Banks
  One of the commonly accepted models of economic growth is one where economic growth is determined by capital accumulation, innovation and growth of the labour force. The growth of the labour force quickly translates into growth of the population and particular age groups which are regarded as particularly productive. This is all fine, if
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Ten Seconds into 2014. More of the same.

Monday, 03 February 2014 | 6:05 am by Burnham Banks
The current volatility in global markets is unremarkable. What is remarkable is the lack of volatility in the past two years. The macro conditions envisaged in mid 2012 continue to hold. For details see: Investment Strategy In a Crazy World April 2012 To reiterate: Long term global growth rate has stabilized along a slower growth
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EM Bonds and USD.

Monday, 27 January 2014 | 2:07 am by Burnham Banks
Barely are we into the end of January 2014 and the emerging market debt markets are once again showing signs if weakness. Emerging markets are suffering from a slow down in exports relative to imports relative to the US and other developed markets. This is a long term trend stemming from a technology deficit. The
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Fed Issues Floating Rate Notes. An Aside on the 30Y UST.

Friday, 24 January 2014 | 8:59 am by Burnham Banks
For the first time in 17 years, the US treasury will issue a new security, a Floating Rate Note. This will become a program of quarterly auctions.  Why are they doing this?   How does one get longer term funding at low interest rates? How does one attract investors to longer maturity assets with little
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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