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May 10, 2025

Author: Burnham Banks

Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.
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What exactly are Alternative Investments?

Monday, 18 February 2019 | 3:12 pm by Burnham Banks
What is an alternative investment? With growing popularity among investors, the question of what exactly constitutes and alternative investment is becoming more important. In investment circles the definition of what exactly constitutes an alternative investment is pretty wide and vague. Since we use the name alternative investment, the logical question is, alternative to what? What
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Investment Outlook 2019. Short View. Long View. Inflexion Point.

Monday, 28 January 2019 | 3:43 pm by Burnham Banks
The last decade The last decade has seen a remarkable recovery in asset values, and a reasonable recovery in economic growth. The deployment of QE, rate cuts and bailouts were useful in the crisis years for ensuring the functioning of the financial system and the emergency funding of the economy. This prescription has not been
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Synchronized global slowdown? Weak ISM manufacturing data.

Friday, 04 January 2019 | 10:06 am by Burnham Banks
The latest ISM manufacturing number declined sharply from 59.3 to 54.1, a disappointing number, but not an unexpected one. Manufacturing is global whereas non-manufacturing is more domestic. Given the weakness in manufacturing PMIs in Europe and Asia, it was surprising that the US manufacturing PMI was so resilient. A decline was to be expected. In
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What changed in Oct 2018 and what is the short term outlook for 2019.

Wednesday, 02 January 2019 | 8:00 am by Burnham Banks
In order to understand what will drive markets in 2019, we need to understand what changed in October 2018 that caused the market to decline. The Fed miscommunicated policy. In early October, Fed Chairman Powell signalled to the market that Fed policy would be tight, saying that rates were far from neutral. This was change
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Leveraged Loans. Time to Start Buying. In Stages.

Thursday, 13 December 2018 | 2:09 pm by Burnham Banks
Leveraged loans have been one of the best investments in the last decade, on a risk adjusted basis. Using the S&P LSTA Index as a gauge, the 10 year annualized return has been 8.9% with a volatility of less than 1%. The high yield bond market, proxied by the iBoxx HY index has returned 9.6%
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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