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March 7, 2026

Ten Seconds Into the Future. History.

Ten Seconds Into the Future. History.

by Burnham Banks / Monday, 06 December 2021 | 6:00 pm / Published in Articles
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Perhaps history is inevitably punctuated by crises. Life naturally grows until interrupted by environmental, social or political crises when the number of hosts, inhabitants or combatants is decimated, halting the crisis, and setting the stage for a potential but by no means guaranteed recovery.

There is an optimal population size below which collaboration leads to growth and beyond which tensions lead to fracture. The size of the habitat and the efficiency of communications are factors. For a given size of the physical habitat, communications allow both collaboration and competition. At the point when the dynamics of competition dominate that of collaboration, the population must migrate or expand into a greater space or face environmental, political or social crises.

Equilibria are characterised by balance. The trend following tendencies of humans leads to overshooting strategies approaching then exceeding points of balance. History therefore tends towards cycles. The further a system exceeds equilibrium, the more energy is accumulated for reversion to equilibrium.

 

 

Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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