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June 18, 2025

Category: Articles

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If Trump Had Won And Then… How Markets Might Have Reacted

Monday, 28 November 2016 | 2:14 am by Burnham Banks
If in the immediate aftermath of Donald Trump winning the US election, equities had crashed, credit spreads had widened, bonds had sold off, the dollar was strong yet gold had surged. And held on to these trends for more than a day. What would the present look like? The only resemblance to the above scenario
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Trump Has Won. Its Time To Unite And Get To Work

Friday, 11 November 2016 | 8:35 am by Burnham Banks
Every so often democracy produces a result that is extreme and polarizing. The personal qualities displayed by Donald Trump were far from desirable or exemplary and his proposed policies appear vague, incomplete or ill-conceived. Yet Trump addresses some deficiencies, even if his remedies may be questionable. While 47% of eligible voters did not vote and
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Trump Wins Election. What Would You Do?

Friday, 11 November 2016 | 4:57 am by Burnham Banks
What would you do?  Russia: · Christmas came early. Cosy up to Donald. · Help the US out of NATO. · Help Turkey out of NATO. · Test the resolve of NATO by threatening Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania. · Help the US out of trade pacts. · Seems sympathetic to Russian strategy in Middle East. China:
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Global Debt Levels, Central Bank Policy, Implications for Interest Rates and Bonds. Nov 2016

Tuesday, 01 November 2016 | 7:44 am by Burnham Banks
We have had central banks telegraph their intentions to us for years now, and mostly those signals have been dovish. Recently, however, there has been a backup in bond yields and some uncertainty around what central banks want and what they can achieve. Is the current correction in bonds similar to the taper tantrum of
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A Challenging Economic and Financial Landscape For Investments 2016 / 2017

Tuesday, 11 October 2016 | 12:09 am by Burnham Banks
10 minutes into the future… Growth remains positive but slow, equities are expensive, credit spreads are tight, and interest rates are low. High quality assets are even more expensive leaving only lower quality, less liquid, more esoteric or clearly troubled assets with any value. A significant contributor to the current state of affairs is central
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Ten Seconds Into The Future

“Hello. I’m Burnham Banks and I studied economics in the late 80s and early 90s. I’m still studying economics today and am still no wiser. This blog is a journal, a record of my thoughts and experiences. If we are destined to repeat our mistakes, we should at least repeat them faithfully. If not, then perhaps the past is a mischievous guide and we should try something new.”

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