ESG Investing Is Hard To Do.
Thursday, 16 January 2020 | 2:50 pm
I had discussed ESG in this previous article entitled: ESG: Externalities Unpriced, in an attempt to encourage a more rigorous analysis of ESG, arguing that ESG leads to better investment results due to a more comprehensive understanding of the factors surrounding a business so that these factors can be integrated into both risk mitigation as
- Published in Articles
No Comments
2020 Investment Strategy. Generally Cautious.
Tuesday, 14 January 2020 | 7:41 am
Reduce equity exposure. Equity markets have outpaced fundamentals recently. In any reversion to mean, equities will perform in line with fundamentals which suggests a much more moderate performance in 2020. On that basis alone, investors should reduce equity exposure. By how much? In a balanced portfolio with 35% in equities and 65% in fixed income,
- Published in Articles
Gold. Political Risk Hedge. The Schadenfreude Trade.
Friday, 10 January 2020 | 7:42 am
The case for gold has never been stronger with the rise in geopolitical risk since 2016. Since 2000, the price of gold has risen sharply, at an annualized rate of nearly 14%, only to peak in 2012 before losing 40% in 3 years for an annualized rate of -7.4%. Since then it has risen erratically
- Published in Articles
10 Seconds Into 2020. Geopolitics and US Elections.
Wednesday, 08 January 2020 | 10:35 am
Welcome to a long rambling piece about the economic and market outlook. There is a lot to think about but in the end, if all you are interested in is the direction of the financial markets, go to the end of the article on US Elections and Trump. Geopolitics. A key driver of economics and
- Published in Articles
Information, Efficiency and Scale
Monday, 30 December 2019 | 6:35 pm
Central planning is superior to free markets if the central planner has perfect information, and acts in good faith. Free markets are better when information is imperfect. When information is localized by a factor or location, decentralized groups can process information more effectively. These groups, can be regarded as centrally planned cells within a neighborhood
- Published in Articles