HEDGED.BIZ

A look at economics, markets, finance and the irrational human being

Deflation Then Inflation

At this time of COVID19 pandemic, social and economic disruption and recession, I can see instantaneous deflation due to the demand shock, but I also see a longer term trend of rising prices. This could present investment opportunities, and risks, and would certainly complicate monetary policy. Given the acute reduction in demand, deflation is the more
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A Recovery Investment Strategy for COVID19

Recovery Investment Strategy This recovery investment strategy should not be one’s entire investment strategy. A diversified asset allocation driven strategy should remain the core of the whole strategy. However, a dedicated strategy to address the current dislocations and distress can not only be profitable but provide capital where it is needed. This investment strategy seeks
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Impact Investing

Everything we do, our consumption, or work, our investments, our private, social and professional behavior, has an impact on everything else, whether we are aware of it or not. Every investor is already an impact investor, the question is whether they are consciously doing so in a responsible way or not. The microscopic impact investment
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Don’t Stand So Close To Me. (With apologies to Mr Gordon Sumner.)

This morning The wire The cases multiply It’s catching No escape now This thing could almost fly He’s shaking He’s coughing  They look him up and down Where was this utter stranger He came from out of town.  Don’t stand Don’t stand so Don’t stand so close to me The city’s so quiet Only the
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The Outlook Under The Shadow of COVID 19

The Outlook Under The Shadow of COVID 19 7 Apr 2020   How is 2020 different from 2008? 2008 was a US housing crisis distributed globally by the banking system. US housing was overvalued and over leveraged. The mortgages they supported had weak underwriting and credit standards. Banks from Europe and Asia had entered the
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